Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 919.020534 1044.523762 1185.934965 1358.071716 1563.291403 1801.797116 2102.421459
2025-03-16 725.225317 885.031665 1082.582746 1348.664602 1703.815669 2170.604229 2846.281830
2025-03-23 634.299005 809.318905 1038.839026 1369.338345 1846.007592 2530.192419 3629.344881
2025-03-30 549.889910 724.677946 964.063400 1326.560854 1881.702410 2736.626717 4234.389474
2025-04-06 486.941708 658.780613 902.646597 1287.780073 1908.577633 2925.438763 4852.477210
2025-04-13 434.923691 601.269151 844.418237 1242.291197 1912.511155 3071.581459 5430.422605
2025-04-20 412.326879 583.531618 841.981005 1281.847706 2060.575589 3494.434556 6671.263311
2025-04-27 386.963996 558.532839 824.707233 1293.312601 2159.872734 3847.785253 7894.069840
2025-05-04 367.835984 541.001650 816.802483 1318.629983 2287.581124 4285.622722 9487.032111
2025-05-11 349.765636 523.243929 806.224933 1337.004316 2404.176976 4728.184573 11292.483013
2025-05-18 339.341741 516.786982 813.636996 1388.827973 2597.318126 5393.743481 14070.668991
2025-05-25 325.051450 502.512392 805.801562 1410.077122 2729.285210 5951.471009 16855.768760
2025-06-01 307.517980 482.189340 786.825716 1410.231858 2822.952538 6464.050017 19937.374672
2025-06-08 288.879599 458.633066 760.037097 1391.706260 2872.258922 6882.043869 23040.391851
2025-06-15 277.464217 446.763895 753.552790 1414.393808 3025.544565 7654.640766 28386.042205
2025-06-22 259.038999 420.885694 718.047307 1369.676362 3000.121046 7874.228424 31366.295049
2025-06-29 242.837071 397.932527 686.252162 1329.310649 2978.890806 8104.633163 34698.712504
2025-07-06 227.290897 375.180700 653.049326 1281.954147 2930.658733 8231.952583 37643.040524
2025-07-13 222.344070 371.802460 658.012042 1323.131791 3137.192756 9352.725061 48595.763764
2025-07-20 214.780228 362.919988 651.002625 1335.069043 3262.981125 10233.724451 59601.925695
2025-07-27 209.083710 357.204840 649.987029 1361.433749 3439.025503 11412.230679 75945.942288
2025-08-03 203.089670 350.489904 646.262918 1380.571709 3597.997478 12611.411891 96166.365438
2025-08-10 200.328337 349.934623 655.615394 1434.564848 3885.935081 14600.873915 133779.818541